Menace Search

Tuesday, 23 August 2011

At 9/2 can Sheff Utd produce another second half surge?


You can only hope that the British summertime takes it’s lead from Sheffield United and delivers the goods better late than never.

Danny Wilson’s men find themselves joint top of League One after winning their first three games but it’s largely been down to the effect of the half-time oranges. In all three league matches this season, Sheffield United have been drawing at the break before coming on strong to win. Eight of their nine goals have been scored after the interval and last time out they were 2-0 down at home to Walsall before a late rally gave them the points.

On Saturday the Blades travel to fellow second-half specialists Tranmere Rovers in a match which has all the makings of a slow burner. The boys from Birkenhead have been equally sluggish, scoring six of their seven goals in the second half and incredibly, five of the six league ties these two have been involved in so far have been 0-0 after the first 45 minutes.

Nothing’s certain in life apart from death, taxes and Tranmere-Sheff Utd to be a first half draw. With bwin’s halftime/fulltime football betting market back the Blades at 9/2 to continue their sequence and edge this one after the restart.

However, after a succession of lacklustre opening periods either side could be quick out of the traps. If you fancy going against the grain you can more than double your money (21/10) on Sheff Utd to win the first half, and almost treble it (13/5) if you reckon Tranmere can find their feet first.

The outright match-winner with bwin’s 3Way football betting market follows much the same themes with Sheff United 27/20 to win the game over the 90, with Tranmere at 17/10 and the draw at 9/4.

Tranmere themselves are sat in sixth after winning two of their first three fixtures, but the Blades will be too sharp for them and will edge this by the odd goal.

New customers who sign up for a bwin account are entitled to a £25 free bet and utilising that on a 2-1 Sheff Utd win at 20/1, would cash you £500.

New customers can register here to claim a £25 free bet.

Follow us on Twitter @bwinbetting

John Baines

Tuesday, 16 August 2011

Gunners losing faith as empire crumbles


TEAMtalk guest John Baines says Arsene Wenger's obsession with the future is costing Arsenal now, and pinpoints five potential Gunners targets.

The dust has only just settled on the first weekend of the new Premier League campaign and already we have a potentially unbeatable understatement of the season.

As Arsene Wenger mused over his selection problems ahead of Arsenal's pivotal Champions League qualifier against Udinese, the Frenchman admitted he was looking to, "bring in one or two players because we are a bit short."

The startling admission came at roughly the same time skipper Cesc Fabregas was finalising his protracted move to Barcelona, relieving the Gunners of their best player and further swelling the ever increasing club coffers.

The relative trajectories of the team and clubs literal fortunes climaxed in the first evidence of public dissidence against the Wenger regime from high up the ramparts of St. James' Park on Saturday evening.

"Spend some ******* money" came the cry from the visiting support, the chant tinged with anger and insistence. Football fans can often be partizan, pessimistic, defiant or delusional but they can rarely be fooled by what they can see happening to their club.

Seven years ago on Monday, the 2004 Arsenal invincibles began the defence of their title away at Everton. David Moyes men were swept aside 4-1 by a fluid torrent of trademark attacking movement. Seventeen-year-old Fabregas was the only relative novice in a side largely in it's pomp. In Messrs Cole, Silva, Ljungberg, Pires, Bergkamp and Henry, Wenger had a nucleus of players that was the envy of the Premier League.

With Fabregas now gone and Nasri going, arguably only Robin van Persie of the current crop could be afforded such a tag. The Arsenal decline is not only evident in their six year silverware solitude, but in the slim prospects of ending that any time soon, with rivals having caught up and passed the Gunners.

Financial prudence was always of paramount importance to the board as they oversaw the move to the Emirates Stadium. Wenger's virtues of pure football and youth development have undoubtedly given the club a stable footing for generations to come but such ideologies have contriubuted to the lack of tangible success since the ribbon was cut on Ashburton Grove.

As The Emirates was being constructed, the Arsenal team has been gradually de-constructed and never sufficiently replenished to the point they now languish badly behind their rivals. From the zenith of 2004, Wenger's disciples have gradually diminished in number. The 'In Arsene we trust' banner will still hang around the stadium but many are questioning the motif.

The longer Wenger clings to his utopian footballing dreamworld, the further Arsenal will fall behind the sides who have the intent to win trophies. The undeniable fact amongst all the incendries about fiscal responsibility and ensuring a long-term livelihood is that Arsenal simply do not match the ambition of other clubs in their will to win major honours, and this is the major grievance amongst the detractors.

To the ire of the aggitated Gunners who see their team slipping further from the pinnacle of English football, Wenger's decrying of the transfer market is falling on deaf ears.

Ahead of the Udinese game Wenger was further pressed on his reticence to reinvest in the team, and opined: "We are not frightened to spend money but we have to be convinced that the player is better than what we have."

Given the paucity of quality on show at Saturday's dire draw with Newcastle, those players should not be too hard to find.

However, the notion of quality for monetary quantity is another sticking point with Wenger constantly rebuffing aproaches for particular players based on the fee needed to procure them. Already this summer, advances for Gary Cahill, Phil Jagielka and Christopher Samba have been shelved as Wenger does not believe their price tags give value for money.

But in offering inflated fees as an excuse not to buy only opens him to further inquisitions. If a much needed proven Premier League centre-half is overpriced at £15m, how can an untried and untested Championship protege be worth the same? And if you are being quoted high, why embark on a one man mission to add some reality to the market? Cesc Fabregas for the price of Andy Carroll?

Of course Wenger does business with the long term in mind but those who focus too far into the future risk missing out on the present, and inadvertently, Wenger's neglecting of the present could hinder the club's future. How long will the likes of van Persie and Jack Wilshere hang about with scant chances of competing for top prizes.

The £100m he boasted of having a few years back has been largely unspent and the nigh-on £70m return he will receive for the sales of Gael Clichy, Fabregas and eventually Nasri will again leave the Gunners with a net transfer gain to the detriment of the playing side.

There is no doubt investment must be made in the playing staff. Bargains might be thin on the ground, but there are plenty of players out there who would immediately stregthen the Gunners:

Gary Cahill (Bolton £15m) - Cahill is the rough-tough english centre half that Arsenal have been missing since Sol Campbell passed his peak. Bolton's valuation may be a touch high but at 25 and with his best years ahead, Cahill could be the defensive lynchpin the side desperately requires.

Marcelo (Real Madrid £15m) - Real Madrid's left-back is likely to be usurped from his slot by the arrival of Fabio Coentrao and thus could be available as Real seek to recoup another massive summer outlay. Suspect defensively but dangerous going forward, the Brazilian would fit the template of the mobile full-backs which Wenger favours.

Scott Parker (West Ham £8m) - Parker's patrolling style would add more steel to the side and his presence would protect the back four whilst allowing others licence to get forward. Available and reasonably priced, Parker may not have much re-sale value but would represent a snip after a couple of years service. Not a Wenger footballer but would improve the side as a whole.

Juan Mata (Valencia £30m) - Wenger's dithering cost the club the opportunity to get Mata for a knock-down £22m before a clause expired in his contract earlier this summer. The Spanish flanker's creativity would be needed to replace that lost by Fabregas and Nasri's departures, but Wenger will be loathe to spend the amount now required to prise Mata away from Valencia.

Alvaro Negredo (Sevilla £20m) - The Spanish striker would be the less arrogant, goalscoring version of Nicklas Bendtner - minus the pink boots. The former Real Madrid B player has scored 63 league goals in his last 143 La Liga games and is considered as one of the most complete strikers in Spain.

Who do you think Wenger should splash his cash on? Have your say using the story comment facility below.

Modric wouldn't solve Blues' lack of width


TEAMtalk guest John Baines believes Chelsea need a specialist winger more than Luka Modric - and suggests five potential targets.

New manager, same side, similar failings. Andre Villas-Boas is the fresh-faced tactician charged with revitalising a stale Chelsea, but after his first competitive game in charge it was evident that the side he has inherited are very much stuck in their old ways.

The pattern was very familiar as last season's Premier League runners-up were held to a 0-0 opening draw against a resilient Stoke City at the Britannia Stadium on Sunday. In isolation, a point in such surroundings was not a bad one given the hostility visiting teams face when coming to these parts, but the superiority the Blues held in possession gave scope for greater gains.

After weathering the inevitable early onslaught from the hosts, Chelsea increasingly forged a stranglehold on the game but barring a fine Asmir Begovic save, a weak Salomon Kalou header and a couple of either way penalty shouts, Villas-Boas' men created few clear-cut opportunities to have genuine grievances about the outcome.

Even with Fernando Torres brimming, the predictability in Chelsea's attacking manoeuvres was too easy for the feisty Potters to countenance. Devoid of enough width and tempo, the regimental resilience of Stoke's defending was infrequently turned or tormented, their cause aided and abetted by the congestion the Londoners created for themselves.

The introductions of Nicolas Anelka and Didier Drogba did nothing but thicken the middle malaise as the futility of the approach drew wild gesticulations from Villas-Boas. The frustrations of player, manager and fans only served to further highlight the necessity to find one player who can provide one moment to turn one point into three.

The summer-long pursuit of Luka Modric will likely intensify after another performance in which Chelsea resembled a toothless tiger - knocking on the door inquisitively rather than with insistence.

But should the pursuit of Modric prevail, how differently would things fare with the Croatian schemer in the side?

Villas-Boas has made little secret of the desire to keep his and his squad's preferred 4-3-3 as the modus operandi, yet the Modric acquisition would do nothing to rectify the major failings of their version of this particular system.

Whilst Modric of course does possess the subtlety and craft to pick passes which can unlock massed defences, Chelsea's fundamental flaw at present is a chronic lack of width to sufficiently stretch opposition defences to breaking point. Any combination of their flanked forwards have a proclivity to drift infield and thus create the sort of bottleneck which suffocates the team. As time ticked on at the Brit, so did the tally of attacks snuffed out within the width of the 18-yard box.

Instead of shelling out for Modric, Villas-Boas would be better served with a touchline hugging winger - somebody to provide the necessary width, pace and penetration to replicate the Duff-Robben duoploy that led the Blues to back-to-back titles under Jose Mourinho.

The integration of such a player into the line-up would be a double-edged attacking sword. Not only would the wideman offer their own attacking outlet, but the positioning of a genuine winger makes the pitch bigger and wider, creating space elsewhere for others to thrive and for the opposition to cover.

One of the features of how Stoke on Sunday and others previously are able to defend against Chelsea is that the back four can narrow and restrict gaps in between each other. The space Fernando Torres is supposed to be furrowing is plugged by the inability of the Chelsea side to create it in the first place.

Regardless of how good Modric is, in the current set-up he would be confined to the same spacial limitations which is prohibiting Chelsea at present.

So I've come up with five alternative transfers Chelsea could explore:

Marko Marin (Werder Bremen, approximate fee: £15m)

The little German flyer would be ideal and available. Quick and direct, Marin commits defenders and causes endless problems for full-backs as Vedran Corluka will testify to after Spurs' Champions League meeting with Werder last season.

Aaron Lennon (Tottenham Hotspur, £20m)

Potentially more saleable from Spurs and arguably the type of player Chelsea need more than another central midfielder. Lennon's roadrunner style would enable the Blues to turn defences and even if his output isn't all it should be, his presence immediately alters the mindset of defences and put teams on the back foot.

Milos Krasic (Juventus, £25m)

Not a prolific scorer, Krasic is a touchline winger or orthodox right-midfielder whose pace and guile creates ample opportunities for others. The Serbian only arrived at the Olimpico at the start of last season but was one of the only positive aspects of another dire season for the Bianconeri. A seventh-placed finish means no European football this year and the financially stable footing the Turin giants once held is starting to slip.

Pedro (Barcelona, £25m)

The arrivals of Alexis Sanchez and Cesc Fabregas at the Camp Nou may mean Pedro will have his first-team opportunities restricted this term and Barca could be willing to recoup some of their summer splurge. The Spanish international offers the sort of intuitive trickery currently missing from Chelsea's current batch of wide forwards and combines this with a prolific goal-scoring record.

Juan Mata (Valencia, £20m)

Only Arsene Wenger would be reticent to pay £20m for one of the most talented young attacking midfielders in the world, with an eye for goal and a repertoire of tricks and flicks to mesmerise most defenders. Mata notched up a catalogue of assists in La Liga last year, and could be the perfect foil to extract the best out of his la Roja amigo Fernando Torres.

Boro good value at 11/5 to edge out Leeds


Leeds attempts to return to the Premier League have suffered a slippery start. Will Middlesbrough add to their woes n Saturday?

After finishing last season one place outside of the play-offs, Simon Grayson hoped this season would see Leeds marching on together back into the big time.

But after an opening-day hiding at Southampton, it suddenly seemed a more likely route out of the Championship would be through the trapdoor.

The Whites were lucky to only lose 3-1 down on the south coast with Andy O’Brien looking every bit the rusty 32-year-old Premier League relic.

They shipped in two more goals in the narrow midweek Carling Cup win over Bradford and bwin’s 3Way football betting market has them at a short-priced 21/20 to get their campaign going over Tony Mowbray’s Middlesbrough.

The Teesiders only got themselves off to a draw against crisis club Portsmouth – who could only name four substitutes for the game.

They fared better in their Carling Cup clash, breezing past Walsall 3-0 with dynamic dutchman Marvin Emnes grabbing a hat-trick to add to the opening-day strike he got against Pompey.

Leeds are notoriously porous at the back having conceded 70 times in the Championship last year and without the goals of Davide Somma, Luciano Becchio and Billy Paynter, you can back Emnes and the Boro boys at an enticing 11/5 to add to Grayson’s gripes, with the draw also priced at 11/5.

Furthermore, Boro have a decent record when winding down the north Yorkshire A-roads. They drew 1-1 at Elland Road last season and the last time Leeds beat them on home turf was back in 2002, when tweeting was just a twinkle in Rio Ferdinand’s eye.

With Leeds’ dodgy defence and stricken strikers, back Boro to edge it. New customers who sign up for a bwin account are entitled to a £25 free bet and utilising that on a 2-1 Middlesbrough win could bring you home a tasty £287.50.

New customers can register here or click here to see all our Championship odds.

Follow us on Twitter @bwinbetting

john.baines@bwinbetting.com