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Friday, 7 October 2011

La Liga weekend betting preview


John Baines takes a look at this week's Spanish league action for bwinbetting.com.


Saturday September 10th

Real Sociedad v Barcelona

Home win: 15/1 Draw: 25/4 Away win: 3/20

Betting Tip: Barca got the defence of their La Liga crown underway in ominous fashion with a 5-0 rout of Villarreal. Although Sociedad recorded an impressive 2-1 win at Gijon, they will be no match for Pep Guardiola’s superstars. Back Barca to win with over 3.5 combined goals in the game at 13/10.

Villarreal v Sevilla


Home win: 23/20 Draw: 12/5 Away win: 9/4

Betting Tip: The yellow submarines were sunk by Barca on the opening day but now face a more realistic test against Sevilla. Los Nervionenses got up and running with an impressive victory over big spending Malaga, but with Villarreal solid on home turf a draw seems the best bet at 12/5.

Real Madrid v Getafe

Home win: 7/100 Draw: 35/4 Away win: 22/1

Betting Tip: Real scored six last week to trump Barca’s five to prove this seasons La Liga will be another two team precession. Getafe could only draw at home to Levante and the sooner they get this game out of the way the better. Give Getafe a 2-0 start and Real will still win at 31/50.

Valencia v Atletico Madrid

Home win: 17/20 Draw: 27/10 Away win: 14/5

Betting Tip: Valencia are arguably La Liga’s ‘best of the rest’ but had to come from 3-1 down to eventually beat Racing Santander 4-3 last weekend. Atletico have undergone yet another summer overhaul and the unfamiliarity showed in a tepid 0-0 draw with Osasuna. Punt on Valencia to win with over 2.5 goals in the game at 17/10.

Sunday September 11th

Real Betis v Mallorca

Home win: 17/20 Draw: 12/5 Away win: 13/4

Betting Tip: Betis and Mallorca are expected to be fighting for survival but both got their campaigns underway with narrow 1-0 wins over Granada and Espanyol respectively. The draw at 12/5 looks good value and with not many goals likely, you might want to predict a 1-1 at 21/4.

Racing Santander v Levante


Home win: 11/10 Draw: 23/10 Away win: 12/5

Betting Tip: Racing had threatened to pull off the shock of the weekend when leading Valencia 3-1 at the Mestalla but they eventually crumbled 4-3. Levante gained a creditable draw away at Getafe and are unbeaten on their last four trips to the Estadio El Sardinero. More than double your money on the draw at 23/10.

Osasuna v Sporting Gijon


Home win: 4/5 Draw: 12/5 Away win: 7/2

Betting Tip: Gijon won just twice on the road last season and they’ll have a job getting off the mark against an Osasuna side who are notoriously difficult to beat on their own patch. Osasuna held Atletico to a goalless draw in week one and have won this fixture 1-0 in the previous two encounters. Lump on Osasuna to win with less than 2.5 combined goals in the game at 5/2.

Rayo Vallecano v Real Zaragoza

Home win: 23/20 Draw: 23/10 Away win: 23/10

Betting Tip: Zaragoza got spanked 6-0 at home to Real Madrid last weekend but little can be gleaned from results against La Liga’s two super clubs. Rayo marked their return to the top flight with a solid 1-1 draw in Bilbao but seem too short to back at 23/20. Games between promoted sides and those who finished in the bottom half are difficult to call. Play safe by backing any side to win by a one goal margin at 5/4.

Espanyol v Athletic Bilbao


Home win: 7/5 Draw: 23/10 Away win: 37/20

Betting Tip: Espanyol got off to a disappointing start with a 1-0 defeat in Mallorca but can now fall back on their strong home form against Bilbao. The men from the Basque country could only muster a 1-1 draw against newly promoted Rayo and have an awful record away to the Blanquiblaus – losing on their last five visits. Have three guesses at a correct Espanyol winning scoreline by backing them to triumph 1-0, 2-0 or 3-0 at 3/1.

Monday September 12th

Malaga v Granada

Home win: 21/50 Draw: 333/100 Away win: 13/2

Betting Tip: The multi-million pound Qatari investment into Malaga has made them one of the most talked about teams in La Liga since the end of last season, but they failed to live up to the hype on the opening day going down 2-1 at Sevilla. Promoted Granada are likely to struggle all year and will prove to be the type of fodder Malaga need to get themselves up and running. Bet on new signing Ruud van Nistelrooy to score at any time at 11/10.

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john.baines@bwinbetting.com

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