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Friday, 7 October 2011

La Liga weekend betting preview


John Baines casts his eye over this weekend's La Liga action.

Saturday 1st October

Osasuna v Mallorca

Home win: 39/50 Draw: 12/5 Away win: 18/5

Betting Tip: If you want to see an end-to-end game of attacking football this weekend then Osasuna-Mallorca is better left avoided. The un-dynamic duo have only scored three goals a piece in their five league games and if you forget about the eight that Barcelona stuck past Osasuna, they’ve only conceded seven between them too. Get on the draw at 12/5.

Racing Santander v Rayo Vallecano


Home win: 23/20 Draw: 21/10 Away win: 39/20

Betting Tip: Santander were the headline act of the first round after snatching defeat from the draws of victory at Valencia. Racing were 3-1 up before losing 4-3 and since then they’ve failed to find the target in four games. Having said that, Racing are the better side and they could easily nick this one. 4/1 for a home win with under 2.5 goals looks like a steal.

Villarreal v Real Zaragoza

Home win: 3/5 Draw: 14/5 Away win: 19/4

Betting Tip: The Yellow Submarines have been submerged below the surface since the start of the season having won just one of their last five outings. A pair of defeats in the champions league will have done little to ease matters and Zaragoza will fancy their chances of coming away from El Madrigal with at least the 14/5 draw.

Valencia v Granada

Home win: 3/10 Draw: 4/1 Away win: 9/1

Betting Tip: Granada are going to have a job on their hands to stay in La Liga and Valencia will expose the gulf in class on Saturday. Los Che have deservedly held Barcelona and Chelsea to draws in their last two games at the Mestalla but will convert one point into three against the Andalusian minnows. Red hot Roberto Soldado could fill his boots so 11/4 looks long for him to score at least twice.

Malaga v Getafe

Home win: 3/5 Draw: 14/5 Away win: 9/2

Betting Tip: Big spending Malaga have got into the swing of things after an opening day defeat. Manuel Pellegrini’s men have won three of their last four and they will chalk up another victory on home turf against Getafe who last time out shocked league leaders Real Betis. There’s no value in the home win at 11/20 but Santi Cazorla looks tempting at 9/5 to score at any time.

Saturday 2nd October

Real Sociedad v Athletic Bilbao

Home win: 7/5 Draw: 12/5 Away win: 9/5

Betting Tip: Bilbao are suffering from the hangover of last year’s lofty sixth place finish and have yet to record a league victory so far this term. However, a morale boosting win over PSG in the Europa League could help kick start their La Liga campaign. Sociedad are unbeaten at home so far including a spirited draw with Barca. That record will stay intact but they’ll have to make do with a share of the spoils at 12/5.

Real Betis v Levante

Home win: 3/4 Draw: 13/5 Away win: 7/2

Betting Tip: You would have got long odds on these two being in first and third place at this stage of the season, and both are there on merit. Betis’ blistering start to life back in La Liga was slightly curtailed last weekend by Getafe and Levante are one of only three teams still unbeaten. Betis can end that record here but it will be close. Betis to win with over 2.5 goals in the game is available at a tasty 9/5.

Atletico Madrid v Sevilla

Home win: 19/20 Draw: 5/2 Away win: 27/10

Betting Tip: You never know what you’re going to get from Atletico – even if their annual drubbing at Barcelona came as no surprise. At home Atletico have been solid, winning five of six and scoring ten in their last three outings at the Vicente Calderon. Sevilla are still unbeaten but have only chalked up a pair of draws on their travels. Back the prolific Radamel Falcao to open the scoring at 4/1 to set up an Atletico win.

Sporting Gijon v Barcelona

Home win: 13/1 Draw: 13/2 Away win: 3/20

Betting Tip: Barcelona will walk this so it’s all about who scores and how many. The world’s best team have knocked in ten goals in their last two games and Lionel Messi has scored five of them. The little Argentine is preposterously overpriced at 17/10 to score two or more against La Liga’s basement boys.

Espanyol v Real Madrid

Home win: 19/2 Draw: 9/2 Away win: 13/50

Betting Tip: Real Madrid look to have overcome the wobble of a few weeks back when they were beaten by Levante and held by Santander without scoring in either. Los Blancos have plundered nine in successive wins over Rayo Vallecano and Ajax and they will be on the goal trail once again at Espanyol. Mourinho’s men are 29/20 to win with over 3.5 goals in the game.

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john.baines@bwinbetting.com

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